Bobby Pulido is running against Monica De La Cruz (R, incumbent).
TX-15 represents Democrats' best opportunity to flip a Republican-held seat in Texas in 2026. The district has been Republicans' greatest success story with Latino voters, but polling shows a close race (De La Cruz 41%, Pulido 38%, 21% undecided). A Pulido victory would signal Democrats can reconnect with Latino voters who shifted right in 2020-2024.
De La Cruz won re-election in 2024 with 57% to 43% over Michelle Vallejo, a 14-point margin in a district Trump carried by 18 points. Pulido must first defeat Dr. Ada Cuellar, a Harlingen emergency physician, in the March 3 Democratic primary. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican. Pulido has raised $722K vs Cuellar's $619K as of December 2025.
Key dates to watch: Primary on March 3, 2026 and General Election on November 3, 2026.
